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Wednesday, November 8, 2023

Media and Electoral Politics IV

Sun Tzu: “Know the enemy and know yourself; in a hundred battles you will never be in peril. When you are ignorant of the enemy, but know yourself, your chances of winning or losing are equal. If ignorant both of your enemy and yourself, you are certain in every battle to be in peril.”

Questions on the assignment?

 For Monday: 

  • Dunaway, ch. 12. (ch. 13 of 10th ed.)

Oppo and vulnerability study (a classic example)


Debate prep requires both vulnerability study and oppo
Strategic Goals of Oppo: conversion, mobilization, demobilization, provocation

1.    Conversion:  building a "permission ramp"


4.    Provocation.  
Sun  Tzu: "Anger his general and confuse him. Pretend inferiority and encourage his arrogance. Keep him under a strain and wear him down. When he is united, divide him. Attack where he is unprepared; sally out when he does not expect you."
Reed Galen: We have a standing buy on Fox News in Washington, D.C. with Fox and Friends, Tucker Carlson and Sean Hannity, every night.

Lesley Stahl: Is that because he watches?

Reed Galen: Yes. Because we know he's in the residence with his super TiVo watching.
Lesley Stahl: Why is provoking him a good strategy?

 Rick Wilson: Every time Donald Trump loses his mind and throws things at the wall because a Lincoln Project ad is up, that takes the whole campaign off track. There's one thing you never get back in a campaign. That's a lost day. 

But vulnerability is a function of time and place.

Vulerabilities Fade.  Biden in the 1988 race.





Hart:


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